Program
Which module technology should you choose for your future PV projects?
Munich, June 7, 2011
09:00 Registration and Coffee
09:30 Opening Conference by the Chairman, Edwin Koot: CEO, Solarplaza
Session I: Why crystalline technology will be leading the way to grid parity
09:45 The industry analyst: how the global market and industry dynamics will lead to cheaper modules
• What are the trends and forecasts of the world’s leading PV markets? Where will most be sold?
• What are the industry dynamics and supply forecasts? Where will most modules be made?
• What module price developments can be anticipated? Is a sales price of $1 per Watt feasible in 2014?
• What are the forecasts for market trends and volume?
Henning Wicht – Senior industry analyst, iSuppli
10:05 The scientist: What technology developments can be expected in crystalline technology?
• What new lab inventions will find their way into commercial c-Si modules?
• What will the module efficiency be in 2014?
• What will be the winner: mono or multi crystalline technology?
• What developments could make c-Si modules considerably cheaper?
Ian Bennett - Senior scientist PV Module technology, ECN
10:25 The manufacturer: What will the c-Si module look like in 2014?
• What will be the average power and how much bigger will c-Si modules be in 3 years?
• Which technology will be more popular: mono or multi crystalline?
• What will be the expected new features, and what are the biggest opportunities?
Ben Hill - VP Trina Solar Europe, Trina Solar
10:45 The supply chain expert: How much cheaper will c-Si Solar PV Modules become in the near future?
• What are the cost developments and trends in the supply chain?
• What are the anticipated pricing trends for modules?
• What are the major challenges, and what are the greatest opportunities?
Jesse Pichel - Senior Analyst, Jefferies
11:05 Coffee Break
Meet the sponsors and share your strategic insights with other participants
Session II: The amorphous thin-film promise and short-cut to the cheapest solar kWhs
11:35 The manufacturer: How low can you go? Potential for cost reduction in amorphous thin-film production
• What is the latest development in a-Si technology development?
• What level of production cost will be possible in 3 years?
• How will a-Si compete with c-Si and why will amorphous Silicon gain market share in the near future?
Romain Henricart – Executive Director, QS Solar
11:55 The equipment manufacturer: is production possible below $0,50/Wp in 2014?
• What are the latest developments in TF-Si production equipment? How will this impact cost of module production?
• What technology and design improvements are in the pipeline for TF-Si modules? What performance can be expected in 2014?
• What is the role for technology and turnkey equipment suppliers?
Chris O’Brien - Head of Market Development, Oerlikon Solar
12:15 The expert: what is the real potential for thin-film technology compared to crystalline?
• What new technology developments will find their way into commercial a-Si modules?
• What developments will make a-Si modules considerably cheaper in the near future?
• What higher energy yield with a-Si is possible compared to c-Si?
• How does the future a-Si module look like?
Mark Thirsk - Managing Partner, Linx Consulting
12:35 Plenary discussion: the future of amorphous thin-film and c-Si technology
• What module to choose for what application?
• How to achieve to lowest cost of solar energy?
• Ask the experts: Q&A with the audience
Panelists: Lynn Sha – QS Solar, Chris O’Brien - Oerlikon Solar, Mark Thirsk - Linx Consulting
12:55 Joint Networking Lunch
The optimal network for all participants. The lunch buffet is an ideal moment to meet the sponsors, test your knowledge and insights, and get to know your future business partners.
Session III: The potential breakthrough technologies
14:10 The scientist: What is cooking in the Lab? The technology developments of flexible solar cells.
• Will high efficiency flexible solar cells lead to a new paradigm shift?
• What are recent breakthroughs, and what is the current status of technology and manufacturing?
• What will be the cost competitive edge over existing/traditional technologies based on Si wafers or thin films on glass? And what is the overall cost advantage potential on system level?
• What are the challenges and major opportunities?
Prof. Ayodhya N. Tiwari - Head of PV Lab at EMPA and Chairman and co-founder of Flisom Ltd, Switzerland
14:30 The expert: will organic solar cells be able to blow away other technologies in the future?
• What is the status of organic solar cells?
• What is the production cost potential?
• What competitive commercial prices can be achieved?
• What applications are feasible?
Jens Hauch - Director Research & Development, Konarka Technologies
14:50 The expert: Will CIGS ever fulfill the promise and potential?
• Will CIGS become competitive with a-Si and CdTl and with c-Si?
• Why haven’t the promising companies not shown the winning product yet?
• Will scarcity of rare earth metals become a threat for mass production?
• What is the industry potential to reduce cost and what sales prices is feasible in 3 years from now?
Shyam Mehta - GTM, Senior Analyst
15:10 Plenary discussion: The potential for the emerging technologies
• What is the cost reduction potential of these new technologies?
• Which technology has the biggest market potential in 3 to 5 years?
• Is the new solar ‘ Google’ yet to be created?
• What does the market need most and what are the major challenges?
Prof. Ayodhya N. Tiwari - EMPA, Jens Hauch - Konarka Technologies, Shyam Mehta - GTM
15:30 Tea Break
A chance to meet the sponsors and discuss further with your fellow participants
Session IV: The new and emerging thin-film technologies
16:00 The CIGS manufacturer: is printed CIGS modules be the cost competitive PV technology?
• What are recent breakthroughs, and what is the current status of technology and manufacturing?
• What is the competitive advantage of printed CIGS modules and PV systems?
• What is the Roadmap to Competitive LCOE?
• What is the cost reduction potential?
Christian Pho Duc - Vice President Sales & Marketing Europe, Nanosolar
16:20 The CIGS-manufacturer: Why CIGS-technology will become a competitive alternative
• Why is CIGS so attractive? What are the competitive advantages compared to a-Si and c-Si?
• How can CIGS compete with dominant c-Si technology?
• What is the potential for reduction of production cost?
• How does the roadmap to grid parity look like with CIGS?
James Plastow – Senior product manager, Solar Frontier
16:40 The CdTe-expert: why the success story of Cadmium telluride modules will continue
• How does the technology roadmap to 2014 look like for the CdTe manufacturer?
• What level of production cost is feasible by 2014?
• What are the experiences in the market?
Stephan Hansen – Managing Director, First Solar GmbH
17:00 Plenary discussion: which module technology to choose for your project in the near future?
Any chance that crystalline technology will become the video recorder among the CD players? Any chance that price will become less important than appearance in residential applications? What technology will be best for the major markets in the world? What is the chance that a thin-film technology will be competitive in utility scale PV power plants? What are the latest technology developments to keep a close watch on? How will the module technology landscape look in 3 to 5 years from now? What will the module ASP will be feasible in 2014 and how will work out for the cost of a solar kWh? What technology will be the leading solar PV technologies in 5 years from now? And what does the customer want? What technology will lead to the highest system energy yield?
Panelists: Stephan Hansen - James Plastow - Christian Pho Duc - Joe Berwind (Alternative Energy Investing)
17:30 End of Program and Informal Drink
A networking moment for all participants. Meet the sponsors, enjoy a drink and a nibble, and discuss things further with other professionals in an informal atmosphere.